Durudarshan - Investment Analysis - Honest Information, Profitable Trading
My Blog

Wish you a Happy New Year...Prunay le gillon, Oxford and New York.

Wish you a Happy New Year

At this time in the year, it is good to sit back and reflect on what's gone on, and what the future seems to hold.
A special welcome to my musings on this occasion to readers from Prunay le gillon, Oxford and New York....and Russia.

The IMF and the OECD have formed the opinion, based on current performance and factors at play that will either enhance or slowdown the performance, to suggest that they see stable but moderate growth for most nations.  This is on the positive side, nevertheless, and certainly good for most people. 

The factors at play in the main are the war in Syria and the unhappy situation in Ukraine, and Russian involvement in both regions.  The annexation of Crimea and the conflict there by the Russian 'rebels' unleashed the economic and trade sanctions by the U.S. and Europe in protest, and Russia too have imposed their own sanctions against the West in reprisal, bringing about renewed fears of a Cold War.  Incursions into U.K. airspace by Russian fighter jets were uncordially and swiftly guided out at once. 
There seems to be a lot of trade affected (some figures suggest about $24 billion annually) over Ukraine, multilaterally between the U.S., Germany, Ukraine, and Russia.  It has seen the effects on the currency and card transactions for Russia, as well as the fall in the value of their Rouble, and the economic impact, which suggests possibly another quarter in which the figures may be low, technically meaning that Russia could be in a recessionary scenario.  Here I am suggesting swift amends by Russia on the situation in Ukraine, where Kiev after all is their great and very useful brother-nation, wherefrom the gas is transhipped into Europe.  Russian generosity and goodwill towards Ukraine can of course pay off for themselves, and might help avert the recessionary scenario.  Of course, it would be good for the Western nations too, then they can resume normal trade with Russia, and so many jobs in import-export, shipping, transportation, catering, production, manufacturing, etc, could be restored in all the trading partners.  And it would bring happiness to people who enjoy eating the delicacies from other lands, and wearing garments made in the latest styles overseas.  A nation that has made rapid steps towards democratisation under the fair and enlightened leadership of Mr Putin surely can see their way to some extraordinary goodwill on the situation in Ukraine?  I hope so, and pray for that.

I was very happy to read the world leaders are getting together to discuss the possibility of bringing the mad war in Syria to a close.  It seems a very complex war, with lots (it seems) freelance armies, each with their own agenda.  After the Yazidis fled (they numbered around 700,000), the Shia'as were made to flee, now even the Sunnis have started to run, all wishing to find home and hearth in Germany or some other EU nation.  The 2 million camped as refugees in Turkey and Lebanon and other nations cannot feel happy, away from the comforts of their own homes and homelands.  It is a very tough struggle for survival for these people, who seem to have made this exodus of Biblical proportions, fleeing Syria, now seeking the mercy of entry and shelter into the European nations.  A blessed solution will be the halt of conflict in Syria itself, and the rehabilitation of all these people in their own lands.  It just seems physically impossible for the European nations to house them or provide for them for any length of time.  The best the European nations can do, now as in the foreseeable future, is to continue to provide extraordinary aid to Turkey and Lebanon and other nations to be as hosts to all these displaced people.  And being in the warm nations will be good for their health; in the cold in Europe, it will be difficult, affecting their health.  If all the warring factions in Syria could show some understanding and mercy, and be good to themselves, and bring the war to an end, it would be fair and entitle them to blessings of Allah.  I cannot imagine our Heavenly Father looking at the whole situation and not shedding plentiful tears.  (I personally believe that Armageddon - and, inter alia, Jihad - must have been cancelled by Divine Decree ; some bloody conflicts that had been foreseen in the 1990s did not happen, thank God.  It is also great news for the world that Ebola has been contained, whose contagion and spread was one of the biggest fears just a little while back.  I sing God's praises together with our friends in West Africa on this. Amen.)

On the positive side, the resumption of trade and lifting of sanctions against Iran after their historic nuclear deal augurs well for everybody.  What can be more pleasing than to see these very cultured people enjoy the medicine,  clothes, food, confectionery, motor cars and scientific developments from the Western nations in exchange for their Oil wealth?  Similarly the lifting of sanctions against other nations would create a happier picture, if those nations too foster an agenda of peace.  Peace is the atmosphere in which humanity can enjoy life;  it seems God and Mother Nature have provided each and every nation ample resources to use and innovate and exchange with other people. 

The lowish Oil price for the meantime could be a great gift for the developing nations, if their currencies have not been adversely affected by the strength of the dollar or the British Pound.  If there is some favourable adjustment, then those nations could make good use of Oil at an affordable price and turn their pace of progress.  It may be in the gift of the developed nations to enable them in this.
I pray for that.

The Oil producing nations may have problems balancing their books once they have used up the surpluses kept aside from their incomes.  Their self-interest and survival will dictate some common-sense policy as regards the production and the price.  When this dawns on them collectively is only known to God.  Reducing incomes would impact their trade, and impact the globe.  My suggestion is a stable Oil price, which would have the added benefit of helping the fracking and shale producers resume their activities. 

On current polling in the U.S., it seems Ted Cruz is catching up with Donald Trump.  In the meantime, most polls (with the exception of Fox News, who are oh so biased in favour of the Republicans, it seems) indicate Hillary Clinton having most support.  Here in the U.K., the bookies give odds of 4/5 on for Mrs Clinton becoming the next President of U.S.A.  (They were quoting 7/2 Marco Rubio and 8/1 Donald Trump). Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio are certainly going to give Mr Donald Trump a run for his money, and by the time there is a clear nominee for the Republicans, there will be a wide stretch between them and the Democratic contender.  At this stage, I believe Mrs Clinton is most likely to make it to the White House this time.  The continued success of Obamacare and the perceived liking of the American people for the Democrat policies convinces me more.  If the Tea Party were in charge, by now probably there would have been sequestration cuts or a government shutdown, and who really wants that? 

Hopefully the world leaders will guide policies for peace and stability everywhere, and favourable trade policies so all nations can benefit.  I am inspired by Lord Rama's words : "Where there is peace, there shall be prosperity". 

Wishing you a Happy New Year, full of joy and peace and good health.

Kind regards,

(c) Copyright, but may be freely distributed or shared with acknowledgement.


Recent Posts

India's "demonitsation" could have a flaw
Donald Trump will be a good great President
The Euro unification of currency and philosophy has thrown up its own challenges
The Japanese stimulus may do wonders for the world.
I believe Japan should be cutting the Stimulus

Most Popular Posts

India's "demonitsation" could have a flaw
Donald Trump will be a good great President
The Euro unification of currency and philosophy has thrown up its own challenges
The Japanese stimulus may do wonders for the world.
I believe Japan should be cutting the Stimulus


"I know for a certainty that He is coming back"
"Where there is peace, there will be prosperity".
#Business Show, Excel, 18th May (today) Docklands.
1st E-Mail Campaign
A 385 Billion Euro Plan for Greece - the Jucker Plan
A crunch point for Greece and the Euro Area.
A 'damage limitation' excercise after Brexit.
A further pierod of economic Recovery in the Euro Area,and Europe.
A method to help Swollen legs
A sensible arrangement with Greece would be best
A stockmarket correction before resumption of the bull trend?
Abenomics, Mr Kuroda.
Accomodative Stance.
Acts of Nature
After the bitter pill, good times ahead for Greece?
Ah so....Mr Abe's economic stimulus, authorized by Guvnor Kuroda.
Appeal for peace and help for Ukraine
Ayurveda - Jobs in voluntary sector
Bangladesh building collapse
Bank of England rate unlikely to be raised just yet...
Baptism to be born-again.
Basil leaves tea.... for reducing diabetes, soothing cancer
Batman, comic books, turn ons.
Best in the Industry
Brexit - a lesson for positive changes?
Brexit? Oh no, I believe it would be a bad idea.
British Airways - lost property - missingx.com
Budget for the Enterprise culture.
Burma - Nobel Laureate Aung Sang Suu Kyi
Business Show, Olympia 22-23 Nov London
Can Dr Yellen delay hiking the rate for some time?
Cheers to the pre Christmas spirit
Children dying of measles in Larkana, Sindh.
China - positive signs
China is still very rosy, with re-focus of the economy
Chinese stockmarket fall
Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints
Clarity will help the Euro develop into a strong Reserve Currency.
Climate Change, make furniture
Climate change? Unseasonally warm
Continuation of Recovery.
Co-operative Enterprises
Corporaate Social Responsibility
Corrections : CBoC rate and Stephanie Ruhle
Could Mr Kuroda taper the Stimulus?
Creating employment, the challenge facing Europe
Credit Easing
Cultural harmony
Cyberattack? or just some hiccup?
Cycles and the stockmarket
Debate about the £26,000 benefits cap.
Debt Ceiling
Debt Ceiling II
DEmonitisation may have a flaw
Developments in Orissa, Bengal, Meghalaya
Diamond Jubilee and Olympics
Diamond Jubilee Year and Paralympics
Divine Guidance
Do you care about the young doctors?
Donald Trump shall be a good great President
Donald Trump would be good for a King, but not as President
Drink a Pinta Milk a day.
Drought, and shortage of drinking water, in India.
Durudarshan for Prime Minister of India, May 2014
E.C.B. Stimulus
ECB 20 Billion additional stimulus,
ECB Stimulus
Eike Batista, 10th Richest Man in the World.
Elan Musk
Enhanced ECB Stimulus would be an Act of Faith.
Euromillion Lottery Winners
Europe hopes Britain will remain In.
Exciting times ahead for the world economy.
Expansion the key, to avoid recession in midst of plenty.
Extended Stimulus by the E.C.B. and a 10 basis point cut seems good news.
Facebook - my blogs on Facebook
Fathers Day - some heartwarming words
Football Clubs
France, Germany, Brazil, India, Russia.....greetings!
Free Money and grants for U.S. citizens.
From Recovery to Prosperity
Frozen shoulder
Further peace, lessen war and conflicts.
G8 Summit
Georgia, Tbilisi
Gifts...for Christmas and all year round
Go ahead, ask the banks for a business loan.
Good days ahead for India, with the Acheh din Budget.
Good evening, Greek friends....
Good times ahead
Greece - an act of faith is necessary
Greece - In or Out of the Euro system?
Greek Debt Situation
Greek national dance in celebration.
Growth for Europe
Guest Book
Gurdas Sidhu - Knowledge to Action
Hacking a problem on blog - please connect via Facebook
Happy Birthday, Grace!
Happy Easter
Happy Fathers Day
Happy New Year!
Health - Diabetes
Heavenly Father, where art Thou? Can people share God's Umbrella?
Help for Indebted Farmers in India
Help save High Street stores in Britain
Herbal and Ayuvedic medications
Hillary Clinton needs all the support in New York and California...and Redmond,Kentucky...
Hillary Clinton odds-on favourite with the bookies, no wonder.
Hillary Clinton, The Donald, the Tea Party?
Hillary for America = America for Hillary
Hillary for America. The Democrat faithful can make it so today.
Historical blogs - of current interest.
Hollywood L.A.
Homely Comfort
Hopefully, the ceasefire can lead to a greater Peace in Syria.
Housing - Social and Improvements.
How can the symphony of Recovery and Prosperity resume?
How can we perhaps have the miracle of Inflation?
How does money get to the real economy?
How would a Greek 'default' affect us all?
I believe Japan should reduce their Stimulus
I pray for Venezuela, now suffering poverty due to fall in Oil price.
I would appreciate your comments
India - The Lokpal Bill
India, shortage of water a national emergency?
India's 14th 5-Year Budget.
Inspiration from the Master Mariner
Interest only Mortgages
Interest Rate and the Economy.
International Women's Day
InterTrader Affiliate
Investment Analysis and Management
Iran, a new era of peace
Is Brexit likely? Will Hillary win the Presidential race?
It would be just wonderful....The Queen's Speech
It's looking good for Hillary Clinton.....and for Donald Trump.
J.P. Morgan
Japan - Prayer for continued recovery
Jesus, the Heart of Love for all Mankind
Job creation for youngsters in U.K.
Jobs and growth
Jon Bon Jovi, Rockstar, Humanitarian, a Heart of Love.
Kimberley Davis, Sarsaparilla
Light a candle....to Prosperity
London Business Show - 7th June 2013.
London Business Show, 28-29 Nov, Olympia.
London Housing Market
Loves and blessings for Christmas
Manoj Bhargava - Billionsinchange
May Allah bring Peace
Micro and macro - chocolate, fruits, money.
Middle East
Money for 18-24 year old Entrepreneurs
Money supply
Money, money, money
More libraries, free books.
Mountain of $57 Trillion, and a family worth 700 Trillion?
Mr Maponya, a dream city in South Africa.
Mr Tsipras makes impassioned plea for help for Greece
Mr Wilson, Yoga Masseur
Mrs Clinton holds Mr Trump on form. I believe she will win.
Mrs Hillary Clinton for President
Musical Christmas celebration, by the Hyde Park Choir
My sentiments are to vote IN on 23rd June 2016.
Nature's Law
North Korea's Mini Bomb....let us view it as comic relief.
Now is the time for all good men and women to come to the aid of the Party.
Nuclear Power
Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Bengal
Oil price and Recovery
Oil price far too high
Oil Price, Interest Rates and Recovery
One day for God.
Over half a million new jobs with a Brexit?
Painting and Art.
Pakistani treatment of Indian prisoners
Peace between Russia and Ukraine
Peace and Prosperity ahead for 2016?
Peace and Understanding.
Peace helps us not to fall short of the glory of God.
Peace in Syria - something must be done to arrange this.
Peace, as a rose upon stony ground.
Personal three wishes for 2012
Please, can they consider amending the Myanmar Constitution?
Poor inner-city areas a breeding ground for terrorists?
Pray, and avoid the tragic occurences
Prayer for Peace in Syria
Profitable trading
Progress in harmony, not disruption.
Promoting on www.durudarshan.co.uk
Prophet Mohammed
Raise a glass of bubbly to Greece
Ratings and Opinions
Read the Scriptures with spirit, and you will find the answers.
Real life supermen!
Real life Super-woman
Recovery in the Eurozone now likely to continue
Redmond - Blessings of peace unto you.
Remain connected, improve connections
Remembrance Sunday
Renewed Recovery for the Euro Area now possible.
Right selection of business
Right to Work, Obamacare, competitive wages.
Sadiq Khan, Mayor of London. A celebration.
Saudi Arabia proposing some welcome cuts.
Save the Leopards - WWF
Security - Police
Selective Immigration
Shadow boxing? The night is yet young in the contest for the highest office in the world.
Sister Akunne's good news...her exam pass, and continuity to work as a teacher.
So much money!
Social enterprise, Micro-finance for UK entrepreneurs.
Social Issues - Commentary
Somalia - books, handbags
Some thoughts for the New Year.
Some thoughts on Christianity
Steady growth for Europe for the next 18 months, by grace of God.
Stimulus in Europe?
Stock Market
Suggest Japan should taper their Stimulus.
Swami Baba Ramdev
Swami Ramdev, Patanjali Yogpeeth Trust, India.
Swaminarayan Temple, Neasden
Syria Peace Talks to be arranged for 9th March 2016
Tata Steel - could they find a buyer soon?
Testimonies at the Latter Day Saints church, Ilford, UK
Testimonies of a Christian family
Testimony at the LDS Church after the Blue Moon
Testing, testing
The Church of Latter-Day Saints
The Affordable Health Care Act - great news.
the British steel industry - and the E.U.
The Chancellor's Autumn Statement
The Digital Economy
The Euro Area Stimulus to commence very soon
The future is bright, very bright
The future looks rosy. I believe we shall avoid a recession.
The God Particle.
The Golden Plates and the Inspired Translation of the Book of Mormon.
The Himalayan tsunami
The love of Christ - a strong enough foundation.
The magic of chemistry - partnerships.
The Mormons
The Mystery Method
The Panama Papers
The price of Gold
The price of Oil
The Queen visits Ilford.
The Queen's Speech 8th May
The Queen's speech to Parliament
The refugees from Syria - help for them, please.
The Republican candidates
The Third Industrial Revolution
The Tools for te nut
The U.S. Presidential elections
The U.S. Presidential race
The U.S. Property sector, creating $2 Trillion to the good.
The US Housing Market
The Yuan adjustment
To Alexis Tsipras and the Greek nation - growth, Recovery and Prosperity.
Tolstoy would have been as Christ.
Tolstoy's bread crumbs
Touker Suleyman, who bought an ailing company for a £1 and turned it into a £27 Million tu
Trillion dollar coin?
Truth shall prevail - a spiritual musical
U.S. government funding till November 2016, please.
U.S. should extend the Debt Ceiling, Japan should taper, India should cut the rate, U.K. doing fine
U.S. shutdown
Undocumented Immigrants in the U.S.
Vegetarian food in Las Vegas
vistaprint test
Website traffic streams
West Bengal
What can Mr Putin not do?
Who will win the Presidential race?
Why don't the stockmarkets like prospect of a Republican win?
Why I feel optimistic about Greece
Will the DOW reach 18500, or even 19000?
Winds, be thee still.
Wish you a Happy New Year...Prunay le gillon, Oxford and New York.
Wish you a joyful weekend.
With high energy prices, how can British steel industry survive? Yet survive it must.
Work hard, and work for peace....that way may be the noble, dignified way forward.
World Money Show, 8th & 9th November
Worldwide Economic Recovery
Would you borrow from your bank?
Year of the Monkey.
Yulia Tymoshenko
Zimbabwe - may it continue with fair policies
powered by

Website Builder provided by  Vistaprint